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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+6.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+4.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+3.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.95+2.37vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63+6.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-1.81vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.68+2.28vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-4.43vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.11vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.96-2.85vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.32-5.10vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.26-2.41vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.37Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.28University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.59Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.8Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| Jack Brown | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Vir Menon | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 27.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.