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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+6.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.60vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+5.48vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.32+6.58vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+0.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.09-0.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.47vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+3.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.63+1.36vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.94-4.81vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-5.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-7.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.68-2.90vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.96-4.92vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.23-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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14.67Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.36Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.1University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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12.08Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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16.32Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Charles Miller | 11.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 25.3% | 20.7% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 7.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
| Vir Menon | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.