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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+5.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.40vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.32+5.58vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+3.01vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.94+1.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.09-0.32vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-1.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.68+1.25vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.96-1.11vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.63-1.13vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.95-6.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.65vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-2.25vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.23-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.25University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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11.89Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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14.75Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.32Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
| Vir Menon | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 7.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 26.2% | 21.4% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 17.8% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.