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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+5.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.78vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.77vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.75+3.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.09+0.66vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+0.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-0.37vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.96+2.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-5.47vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-3.50vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.23-5.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.63-1.04vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.08-0.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.66vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.68-3.74vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.26Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.01College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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12.96Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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14.84Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.26University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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14.22Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Miller | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Vir Menon | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jack Brown | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 32.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.