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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+7.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.94vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.32+7.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+3.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.18vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-1.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.75-0.73vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26+3.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.07vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.63+0.02vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-6.02vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.08-0.11vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.68-2.88vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-7.90vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.96-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.39Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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14.39Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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14.89Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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9.1Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.9Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Miller | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 26.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 32.4% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.