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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+7.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.37vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-2.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.35+1.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-2.85vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60-2.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.59vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-2.74vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.32+0.08vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.696.1%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University1.977.6%1st Place
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2.67Stanford University3.3032.9%1st Place
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7.54Tulane University1.354.9%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.5516.9%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
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6.72University of South Florida1.605.4%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
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13.08Princeton University-0.320.7%1st Place
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10.95Maine Maritime Academy0.151.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.9% | 26.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 47.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.