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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+4.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.59vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+1.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.62+0.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63-1.73vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-3.28vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.87-2.28vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.89-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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2.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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4.24Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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4.33Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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3.72Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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5.72Columbia University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 25.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 32.3% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 12.1% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Bernie Roesler | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.8% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Hannon | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 28.2% |
| Vincent Andrews | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.