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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+6.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.32+8.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+4.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.09+2.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+1.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.14vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63+5.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.06vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-1.58vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-5.48vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.68+1.37vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.75-4.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-5.32vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.80vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-1.58vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.96-4.85vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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14.42Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.72Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| Matt Safford | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 26.1% |
| Vir Menon | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.