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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+8.10vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+5.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+7.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+1.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.93+4.72vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.65+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-1.40vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57+5.31vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-3.74vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42+0.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-3.60vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-5.98vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.69-3.08vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-7.55vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.31Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.92Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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14.91Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Ian Moran | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 23.7% | 31.8% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| John Walton | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 45.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.