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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.75+5.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+7.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+1.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.65+0.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.69+2.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10-0.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.61vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.93-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-6.19vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.90-7.61vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-0.85vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-4.13vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.58Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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14.15Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.88Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cabot | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Moran | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| John Walton | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 24.0% | 32.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 8.3% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 20.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.