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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+5.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.69+7.75vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.10+4.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-0.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.13-2.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.65-2.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-4.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.85vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-1.14vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-6.44vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.93-5.13vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.57-1.70vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.75Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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14.3Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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14.91Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| John Walton | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Ian Moran | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 26.0% | 30.5% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 20.7% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.