← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.59+6.23vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.90+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+4.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.73vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.69+5.62vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.13-0.27vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.20vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.10+1.08vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.44vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.93-0.19vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.65-3.53vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.57+2.19vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.75-6.07vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.80-7.17vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.42-3.26vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.10vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.33-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.23Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.22Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.34Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.73University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
10.62Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.73Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
9.08Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
-
10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.81Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.47Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
-
14.19Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
6.93Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.83University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.74Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
14.9Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.54Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walden | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Ian Moran | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 20.0% | 45.3% |
| John Walton | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.