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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+4.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+8.11vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+3.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.10+5.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+1.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.69+4.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.65+0.25vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-2.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-3.30vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-3.41vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.93-2.12vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.33-4.41vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-2.10vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.57-1.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.99Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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14.26Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Lynn | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sabourin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Ian Moran | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Walden | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| John Walton | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 8.7% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 45.9% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 25.3% | 30.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.