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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+7.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+4.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.35+3.07vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-2.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+0.96vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.52+2.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.52-3.27vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.21vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25University of Hawaii1.053.5%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University1.977.6%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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7.07Tulane University1.355.2%1st Place
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2.69Stanford University3.3033.8%1st Place
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3.92Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.696.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.5%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.5%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida0.522.1%1st Place
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10.79Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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12.92Princeton University-0.320.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 33.8% | 22.7% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 7.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.