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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+1.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+2.29vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+1.27vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92-0.21vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.87+0.67vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.89-1.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.89-2.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.62-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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4.29Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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4.27Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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3.79Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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5.67Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.67Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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4.19Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 32.8% | 28.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 12.1% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.4% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Hannon | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 23.7% |
| Vincent Andrews | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 26.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 27.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.