← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.90+5.14vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+8.16vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.33+5.41vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.75+2.94vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.61+2.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.81vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.80-0.30vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.13-2.50vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.59-1.32vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.65-2.92vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.10-1.56vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.93-2.16vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.70vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College1.69-3.07vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.42-3.27vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.57-1.72vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.41Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.94Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.2Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.81University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
5.5Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.68Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.08Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.44Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
9.84Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.93Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.73Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
14.28Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
14.89Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| John Walton | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Moran | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Sabourin | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 7.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 23.9% | 31.2% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.