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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+5.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+8.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+3.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+1.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+6.54vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.65+1.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.33+1.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75-1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-3.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-3.36vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.93-2.15vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-5.52vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.57+0.27vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.28-0.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.78vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.69-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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14.27Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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14.75Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.89Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Ian Moran | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Walton | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sabourin | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 25.3% | 32.3% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 19.7% | 45.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.