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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+8.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+4.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.65+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+1.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13-0.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.93+2.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-1.96vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-3.71vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.28+3.85vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.57+2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-6.19vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-5.41vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.69-4.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-5.67vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.42-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.98Dartmouth College1.930.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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14.85Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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14.13Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.78Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Moran | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 48.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 23.6% | 31.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.