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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+3.23vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+1.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22-0.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.21-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.02vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.85vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.03Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.37Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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3.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.83Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.68Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 20.1% | 23.5% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 35.1% | 26.0% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 2.5% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 12.6% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 46.0% | 8.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 27.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.