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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+2.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82-0.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22-1.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.21-1.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.01vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.84vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.96Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.3Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.68Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 20.9% | 25.8% | 16.8% | 2.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 22.4% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 36.5% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 12.4% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Braden Foster | 12.3% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 45.7% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 28.2% | 23.0% | 3.3% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.