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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+1.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+2.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.96vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+1.87vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.99-2.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.11vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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2.81Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.68Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 36.0% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 9.1% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Braden Foster | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 25.1% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 39.8% | 10.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 26.8% | 25.1% | 2.5% |
| Elena Gonick | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 25.3% | 20.0% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.