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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University0.51+7.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+6.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+4.22vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+2.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.84vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31-0.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-5.35vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51+0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-4.26vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.29vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.80vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-1.19vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Tulane University0.513.5%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.2%1st Place
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7.22George Washington University1.074.7%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University2.1920.1%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida0.994.9%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University1.185.8%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University1.315.9%1st Place
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2.65Yale University2.4233.6%1st Place
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9.14University of Hawaii0.512.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.857.8%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.1%1st Place
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9.85Maine Maritime Academy0.202.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island-0.201.1%1st Place
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12.81Princeton University-0.790.7%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mira Herlihy | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Ella Demand | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 20.1% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 33.6% | 23.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 45.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.