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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.21+2.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+2.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22-0.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99+0.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-2.13vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.02vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.86vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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2.4Brown University2.220.3%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.87Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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5.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.69Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jed Bell | 34.2% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 25.3% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 26.8% | 16.4% | 1.6% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 46.3% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 23.7% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.