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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+1.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.78+2.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.21-0.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.30vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.03vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.45Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.9Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.210.2%1st Place
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3.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.2%1st Place
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6.84University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.97Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.66Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 30.9% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Montgomery | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Elena Gonick | 13.7% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 18.6% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 43.3% | 7.6% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 16.7% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.1% | 22.6% | 3.8% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.