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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+1.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16+0.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-0.62vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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4.38Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.08Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.66Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 26.0% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 32.7% | 25.0% | 21.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Braden Foster | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Montgomery | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 2.6% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 2.5% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 19.8% | 43.0% | 9.5% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.