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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+1.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.16+0.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+1.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.78+0.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-1.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.00vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.91vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.37Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.67Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 26.1% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 32.5% | 25.2% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Montgomery | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Braden Foster | 13.2% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 26.1% | 15.5% | 1.6% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 46.6% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 23.0% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.