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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+2.85vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+0.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-0.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.99-0.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.78-1.56vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.85-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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2.93Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.36Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.44Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.67Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Foster | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 22.7% | 22.1% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 35.8% | 25.3% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 1.7% |
| Elena Gonick | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Montgomery | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 27.9% | 22.3% | 3.3% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 42.5% | 9.7% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.