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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.38+1.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+0.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.82-0.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.27vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+0.23vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.15-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.4Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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7.75Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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6.68Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Root | 24.9% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 18.8% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 18.6% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Ray | 15.7% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 21.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 16.4% | 41.4% | 30.8% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 59.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 36.0% | 24.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.