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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.08+2.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+3.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.14vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.38-1.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.82-1.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+1.29vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.33vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.15-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.87Salve Regina University1.380.3%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University0.820.1%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.7Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 18.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 28.5% | 24.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Evan Robison | 20.6% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 25.8% | 22.2% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 14.0% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 22.4% | 61.5% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 15.9% | 41.7% | 29.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 36.7% | 25.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.