← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.08+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.27+1.22vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.38-0.05vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.30vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.30vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.82-2.23vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+1.30vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-1.15-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
-
3.22Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
-
2.95Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
-
5.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.77Tufts University0.820.1%1st Place
-
8.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.68Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
-
6.69Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 18.6% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 19.1% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 24.9% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 5.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 26.9% | 21.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Ray | 13.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 22.7% | 61.5% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 42.2% | 29.1% |
| Carter Goodell | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 13.3% | 37.1% | 25.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.