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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.82+1.94vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+2.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-1.70vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.38-3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+1.29vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.33vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.15-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.3Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.9Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.68Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 22.7% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 10.2% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maeve Glancy | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 26.6% | 23.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 14.7% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 20.1% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 24.6% | 22.3% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 22.1% | 61.6% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 15.2% | 41.8% | 29.1% |
| Carter Goodell | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 35.8% | 25.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.