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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+3.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+2.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.46vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92-0.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62-0.65vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.87-0.34vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.89-1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.89-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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4.28Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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2.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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5.66Columbia University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.67Cornell University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.55Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 33.3% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.5% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 27.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 27.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.