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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+2.49vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+4.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42-1.40vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13+5.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.99+1.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.86vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07-0.91vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.79+3.73vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.51-1.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.31-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.85-7.23vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.51-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Stanford University2.1921.6%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.185.4%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.9%1st Place
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2.6Yale University2.4232.4%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida0.994.5%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.8%1st Place
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7.09George Washington University1.075.1%1st Place
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12.73Princeton University-0.791.0%1st Place
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8.68Tulane University0.513.2%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University1.315.8%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island-0.201.4%1st Place
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5.77Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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10.06Maine Maritime Academy0.201.8%1st Place
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9.07University of Hawaii0.512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 21.6% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 32.4% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 45.3% |
| Mira Herlihy | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.