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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.38+2.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+1.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-1.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.14vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+0.75vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.15-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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3.3Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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7.75Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.72Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Root | 23.0% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William DeLong | 18.0% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 19.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 27.1% | 21.9% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 18.4% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 17.1% | 41.4% | 29.8% |
| Carter Goodell | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 14.9% | 35.9% | 24.1% | 9.1% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 8.8% | 24.4% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.