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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.20vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+1.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+0.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+1.29vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.15-1.24vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.2Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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3.53Brown University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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6.76Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William DeLong | 21.2% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 18.8% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 22.7% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 27.3% | 21.0% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 10.5% | 23.1% | 60.3% |
| Carter Goodell | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 35.7% | 25.5% | 9.4% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 17.8% | 41.1% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.