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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.38+2.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.08+1.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58+1.31vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.31vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.15-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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3.63Brown University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.71Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Root | 22.8% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 13.3% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Evan Robison | 20.0% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William DeLong | 21.8% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Maeve Glancy | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 29.4% | 23.6% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 61.9% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 14.9% | 42.2% | 29.3% |
| Carter Goodell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 14.8% | 36.2% | 25.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.