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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+8.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.80vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+4.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+5.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+4.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81-0.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.28+4.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-1.85vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-2.66vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-5.57vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-7.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.15vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.09-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.8Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.85SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 48.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.