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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.81+9.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+5.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+4.68vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81+0.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+2.45vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-0.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-2.68vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.25-4.83vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.28+0.34vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.00vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-10.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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4.73Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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12.83SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.43Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 45.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.