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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+5.33vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+8.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+6.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+5.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72+5.37vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43+1.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.59vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-4.38vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-2.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.25-6.76vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.28-0.56vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.14vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.12-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.59Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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15.44University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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12.86SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 12.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Goulet | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 49.1% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.