← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.20+7.68vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+2.78vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University3.43+4.69vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.15+4.58vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.81+5.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan1.28+9.31vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.23+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.81-2.06vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.92vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.72-0.46vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.04vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.89-3.44vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.25-6.03vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.76vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.16vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.70-6.34vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.97-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.68Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
4.78Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.69Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.58Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
10.01Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.31University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
-
8.32Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.94Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.54Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.56Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.97U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.24University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
12.84SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.22Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Connor Goulet | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 45.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.