← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.25+7.23vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.89+7.78vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+1.67vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.81+1.93vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.12+3.54vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University3.43+1.37vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.76+3.11vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.97+1.07vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.67vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.74+3.98vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.81-1.02vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.15-3.17vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.23-5.06vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.20-6.00vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.72-4.92vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.47vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.28-1.78vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.23U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
9.78Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
4.67Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
5.93Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.54University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.37Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.11University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.07Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.98University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.98Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.83Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
-
7.94Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.0Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.08Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.53SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
15.22University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
-
12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bayless | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 22.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Conner Harding | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 42.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.