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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+3.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+4.17vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+2.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.31+1.61vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.20+3.93vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51+2.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.19-5.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.51-2.42vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-1.04vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.79-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.99-6.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Yale University2.4231.8%1st Place
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5.71Brown University1.858.1%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University1.075.9%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University1.316.4%1st Place
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9.93Maine Maritime Academy0.201.5%1st Place
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9.04University of Hawaii0.512.6%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University2.1920.9%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.1%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University0.513.9%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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12.89Princeton University-0.790.5%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida0.994.2%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island-0.201.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 31.8% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 20.9% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Mira Herlihy | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 44.6% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.