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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+7.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+4.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+1.93vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+2.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.17vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.81vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.55vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.53-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-0.07vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.99+0.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-1.92vs Predicted
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143.69-8.69vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.86-3.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.92Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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12.05Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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5.313.690.1%1st Place
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13.54SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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13.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| JC Hermus | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.