← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.93+3.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.93+6.32vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.84+5.66vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.09+2.44vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.49+0.10vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+4.23vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.53-2.12vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.45+0.91vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.82-1.19vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University2.53-1.19vs Predicted
-
123.69-6.33vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.23-3.44vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.86-2.84vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.99-4.21vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.29vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.68-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.9Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.32University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.66Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.98Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.44Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.1Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.88Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.91Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.81Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.81Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
-
5.673.690.1%1st Place
-
13.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
10.56University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.79Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
-
13.71SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
15.51University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Andy Reiter | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gower | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Tanner Probst | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| Will Neubauer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.