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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+8.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+6.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+6.72vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53+0.98vs Predicted
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63.69-0.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.57vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-3.32vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+1.59vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.99+0.85vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.17-2.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-4.22vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.35vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.16vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-9.21vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.29Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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5.463.690.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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11.85Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.65SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Porter Killian | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.