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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+6.76vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+6.74vs Predicted
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33.69+2.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+1.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.26vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.53+3.81vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49-0.87vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99+3.61vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23+1.14vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.37vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-6.07vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-4.96vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.17-4.80vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.68-1.26vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.63.690.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.81Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.13Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.61Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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13.51SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Porter Killian | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 47.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.