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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.64vs Predicted
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23.69+3.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+4.37vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+2.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-2.26vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99+3.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.68+4.58vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.66vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.33-2.77vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.53-8.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-1.84vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-7.43vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.33vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.583.690.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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4.74Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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11.59Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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15.58University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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10.23Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.67SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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13.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 45.8% |
| Porter Killian | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Andre Guaragna | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.