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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.17+9.29vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+5.75vs Predicted
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43.69+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+3.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+0.53vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-2.09vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-2.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+3.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-2.48vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.68+2.43vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.99-2.59vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.33-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.23-5.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-3.68vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.363.690.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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15.43University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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11.41Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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10.36Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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13.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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13.42SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 42.9% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Andre Guaragna | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.