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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+4.65vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.80vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.20+5.79vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+1.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.20+3.93vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.19-4.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85-3.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-3.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.94vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.51-4.15vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-1.21vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.51-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Yale University2.4233.2%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.316.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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9.79Maine Maritime Academy0.201.9%1st Place
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6.97George Washington University1.075.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.9%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island-0.201.2%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University2.1921.6%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.857.4%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.185.7%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida0.994.8%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College-0.131.7%1st Place
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8.85Tulane University0.512.8%1st Place
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12.79Princeton University-0.790.6%1st Place
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9.12University of Hawaii0.512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 33.2% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 21.6% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 45.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.