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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+5.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.62+3.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+1.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+0.36vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.60-0.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.28-1.88vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.78+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.94-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.77-2.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-6.63vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.19vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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5.47Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.81Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.08Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 13.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| William Crane | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 17.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 26.1% | 33.6% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 24.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.