Race 4A

hewitt-division

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
William Crane 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.7% 9.3% 11.1% 16.4% 19.9% 13.6%
Kyle Dochoda 10.1% 9.3% 11.0% 10.8% 8.1% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 7.1% 6.7% 5.2% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Schryver 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.9% 10.7% 10.0% 7.1% 3.8% 0.5%
Olivia Mitchell 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 0.6% 1.9% 1.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.3% 9.3% 13.8% 24.3% 29.8%
Christopher Keller 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 6.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.1% 10.0% 9.1% 7.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Noah Simmons 8.4% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 8.1% 9.9% 10.1% 8.2% 9.2% 5.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Madeline Kaller 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 5.7% 8.5% 13.6% 19.5% 17.9% 10.5%
Dylan DiMarchi 12.9% 11.0% 10.7% 10.2% 9.0% 9.8% 8.4% 8.8% 5.9% 6.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Preston Duclos 9.9% 10.6% 10.5% 9.8% 10.4% 9.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.4% 6.1% 3.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Rasmussen 8.1% 7.4% 9.2% 7.0% 10.2% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Michael O'Flaherty 7.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 6.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.5% 7.1% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Vincent Yannelli 3.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.9% 9.3% 12.0% 13.3% 9.6% 5.6% 1.7%
Thomas Dugan 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 4.2% 6.8% 12.1% 20.7% 42.6%
Charlie Hibben 8.9% 11.8% 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 8.9% 7.3% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Nicholas Marwell 13.8% 13.4% 9.8% 11.2% 8.9% 10.0% 8.2% 7.6% 6.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.