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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+6.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.62+3.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+1.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+2.92vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.28-1.87vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.90-4.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.60-5.60vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.78-1.23vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.21vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.98Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.79Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.06Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Crane | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 27.1% | 32.8% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.