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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.62+5.06vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+4.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.28+4.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+3.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+0.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+0.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-0.75vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-4.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78-0.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.77-4.00vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.23vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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12.77Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.04Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simmons | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| William Crane | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 15.6% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 24.2% | 33.7% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.